Holy embarrassing coincidence! Strange bedpersons indeed:
Byers:
$16 billion for the wrong planes
Me:
Canada’s new fighter, the F-35: What the government is and isn’t saying
Almost scrarifying to find the good professor and me making some similar points. But fear not, he can still be rather economical with the truth…or inexcusably ill-informed. As well as self-contradictory. A letter sent to the Toronto Star and not published [Update: The Star did print the letter, along with several others, July 22] :
Re: $16 billion for the wrong planes, July 8
Michael Byers writes that “Canada’s most desperate procurement need is for fixed-wing search-and-rescue aircraft that could be built in Canada by Bombardier.” While a new aircraft of that sort is certainly required by the air force, Bombardier is not the company to build it. Such planes require a rear ramp for the rapid and accurate release of rescue materiel and personnel. Unfortunately the only aircraft Bombardier might offer for the role is an adapted version of its Q Series turboprop airliner–which has no rear ramp and cannot be fitted with one.
Professor Byers goes on “…opportunities for Canadian industry would be created by sourcing search-and-rescue planes here.” A major thrust of his piece is to argue against the sole-sourcing on our military aircraft, yet here he sees to be advocating it. Does he not want a fair competition that Bombardier would be free to enter. What gives?
Indeed he criticizes the government for the purchase of the air force’s new C-17 strategic airlifters and C-130J tactical airlifters. He states that “…sole-sourcing ensured that the planes would be purchased from American firms [emphasis added, quelle horreur!] ratherthan Europe’s Airbus.”
The A400M is the Airbus plane that might have been considered. But it is several years behind schedule and is still in flight testing. The first delivery, to France, is now not expected until 2013. Any aircraft for Canada would be some time after that and we needed our new transports rather sooner.
Our first C-17 was actually delivered in 2007, all four by 2008. Our first C-130J arrived at Trenton early this June. Does Prof. Byers really think Airbus was such a good idea?
I’m criticizing the government’s method in selecting equipment. Prof. Byers (a firm NDPer, though almost never identified as such in our major media, check the end of the Star piece) would, I think, really prefer that the CF not be well-equipped at all–at least for combat roles. In which case they would not be true armed forces at all: rather another gendarmerie, suitable only for selected UN peacekeeping missions–simply more heavily armed than the RCMP.
Earlier at Daimnation!:
Afghanistan: Bilge from Byers
Fisking Michael Byers’ bilge
Why I say “no” to Byers
Plus Adrian has, er, issues on the Tamil front with the prolific prof.
Back to the Lightning II. Defense Industry Daily round-up:
Canada Preparing to Replace its CF-18 Hornets
…
Canada has been an active Tier 3 partner in the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, participating in both the Concept Demonstration Phase ($10 million) and the System Development and Demonstration Phase ($150 million). This USD $160 million has included funding from both the Department of National Defence, and from Technology Partnerships Canada (TPC [more here]). In the Production, Sustainment and Follow-on Development Phase of the F-35 program, it is estimated that Canada’s contribution will exceed C$ 500 million (currently about $435 million) over 44 years [emphasis added]. Now, the F-35 is Canada’s official choice to replace its Hornets…
July 16/10: Canada’s Conservative Party government declares that it will buy the F-35A, without a competitive process. The jets would begin to enter service around 2016, and the initial budget is C$ 9 billion for 65 F-35 aircraft and associated weapons, supporting infrastructure, initial spares, training simulators, contingency funds and project operating costs. That budget has not been confirmed by an actual contract, however, something that reportedly led to unpleasant surprises when Canada bought C-130Js from Lockheed Martin. DND statements indicate that an F-35 contract would not be negotiated until about 2014-2015 [emphasis added, so how the heck do we know what the total price will be for those 65 aircraft?].
The government’s defense of its decision revolves around economic and industrial benefits:
“To date, Canada has invested approximately CAD$168 million in the JSF program. Since 2002, the Government’s participation in the JSF program has led to more than CAD$350 million in contracts for more than 85 Canadian companies, research laboratories, and universities – meaning that Canada has already seen a two-to-one return on its investment.
Now that Canada has committed to purchasing the F-35, Canadian industrial opportunities could exceed CAD$12 billion for the production of the aircraft [emphasis added, note that "could", good luck on the total]. Sustainment and follow-on opportunities for Canadian industry are emerging and will be available over the 40-year life of the program. For instance, in accordance with the industrial participation agreements, all 19 Canadian companies manufacturing items for the F-35 will also repair and overhaul those components for the entire global fleet.”
The government needs that defense…
Meanwhile other partners are not moving very fast, some at least doing formal comparisons–from AW&ST, June 10, 2009:
Norway To Begin F-35 Negotiations
Norway’s defense ministry is to begin negotiations on the purchase of up to 56 Lockheed Martin F-35As after parliament voted to accept its recommendation of the Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) over the Saab Gripen NG.
Negotiations are expected to take two years, and the government is required to return to parliament in the spring for authorization to begin negotiating the final contract. Norway is already a partner in the JSF program…
The defense ministry does not know when a contract will be signed, or how many aircraft will be ordered, but beginning negotiations this year keeps the program on track to allow first deliveries in 2016 and full operational capability in 2020…
Denmark is going though a three-step process, first to decide whether it needs a new fighter, then which one, and finally how many and when. The first two decisions were planned before its parliament recesses at the end of this month, but are expected to slip.
With a requirement for 48 aircraft, JSF program partner Denmark still is hoping to decide between the F-35A, Gripen NG, and Boeing F/A-18E/F before year-end, Burbage says…
Among the other international JSF partners, the U.K. has ordered its first two test F-35Bs as part of the 17-aircraft third production lot just awarded. A single test F-35A for the Netherlands also is included, but the Dutch will not make a final decision until 2010.
A third test aircraft for the U.K. and a second for the Netherlands are planned as part of the 32-aircraft LRIP [low-rate initial production] 4 contract to be awarded next year.
Australia has confirmed plans to buy 100 F-35As, beginning with an initial tranche of 75, but has slipped its first purchases by a year to 2012, as part of LRIP 6. Italy, with a requirement for 131 F-35As and Bs, and Turkey, with 100 F-35As, also expected are to begin their purchases in LRIP 6, [Tom] Burbage [Lockheed executive vice-president and general manager, F-35 program integration] says…
More on Euros, I wonder about impact on F-35:
Analysis: Defense in firing line as Europe begins budget cuts
For European policymakers desperate to cut spending, the defense budget looks an appealing option. But military chiefs and arms firms will lobby hard, arguing that jobs and geopolitical clout are on the line…
Britain’s new government is already pushing through a comprehensive defense review, making it clear that military budgets will come under particular pressure. Other European governments have frozen key decisions.
Across the continent, the main choice will be whether to scale back or axe major projects — warships, aircraft, new vehicles…
On one level, analysts perceive a drive to high-tech new solutions: drones, satellites, robots and cyberwarfare. But powerful vested interests protect the status quo…
Amusing update: The results of a Google search: “Michael Byers F-35″.
Mark
Ottawa